Month-By-Month Spring/Summer Forecast Released For CT

Residents looking forward to warmer weather this spring and early summer may get more than they bargained for, according to a new federal outlook.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center released its seasonal temperature outlook for May through July, showing an increased likelihood of above-average temperatures across much of the Northeast, including Connecticut.

A federal outlook shows increased chances of above-normal temperatures across much of the Northeast, including Connecticut, from May through July 2026. Credit: NOAA Climate Prediction Center

The outlook indicates a higher probability of warmer conditions compared to historical averages, though it does not guarantee specific temperatures on any given day.

Precipitation in Connecticut is expected to fall within “equal chances,” meaning there is no strong signal for either wetter- or drier-than-normal conditions during the period.

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The temperature outlook is part of NOAA’s long-range forecasting, which uses climate patterns and historical data to assess trends over several months.

Forecasters update the outlook regularly, meaning conditions and probabilities may shift as summer approaches.