‘FL Super Soaker’: Stormy Weather, Heat Expected This Weekend

Forecasters are calling for heavy rains and thunderstorms with the potential for flooding across parts of FL.

By Tiffany Razzano, Patch Staff

Oct 2, 2026 3:42 PM EDT

It might be a quiet hurricane season so far, but that's not stopping the wet weather from ramping up across much of the state.

A surge of tropical moisture is moving across the Southeast and mid-Atlantic this weekend, bringing threats of flooding to states in these regions, AccuWeather said.

Residents and visitors of the Sunshine State should expect a "Florida Super Soaker" over the next 10 days, meteorologist Matt Devitt wrote in a social media post.

Daily thunderstorms are expected in West Central and Southwest Florida this weekend into early next week, and the downpours will be heavy at times, the National Weather Service's Tampa Bay office said.

"Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop each day through the weekend, with the highest rain chances generally in the afternoon. Storm coverage and rain totals are expected to increase early next week, with heavy rain and flooding possible," NWS forecasters said.

This wet weather pattern is caused by "extra tropical moisture and a stalled out front," Devitt wrote in his post.

He added, "Greatest amounts will be in the Panhandle and Northern Florida. Not everyone gets the biggest totals, but some isolated, hardest hit spots, could see 10"+ after it's all said and done."

Fox 35 meteorologist Noah Bergren wrote in a social media post that "summer like moisture and heat" are returning to Central Florida this weekend.

Bergren wrote that the "heat index will peak around or just over 100 degrees later this week. Showers and storms will return as well... but the best coverage of rain and storms will be on the western side of the state."

In a social media post, Denis Phillips, chief meteorologist for Tampa Bay 28, wrote that Floridians should get used to this type of weather.

"We've been saying it since January. El Niño will bring lots of rain to Florida this Fall and Winter," he wrote, adding that a "stalled out front [will sit] over the state for 5 or 6 days next week. Get used to seeing this into Spring."

Fox 13's Paul Delegatto agrees that this weekend's weather, with rain totals of more than 6 inches in some areas, is "a sign of things to come this winter."

Here's the weekend weather forecast for different regions from the National Weather Service:

Tampa Bay

Friday Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 98. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11 p.m., then isolated showers between 11 p.m. and 2 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent.
Sunday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 11 p.m., then scattered showers between 11 p.m. and 2 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 40 percent.
Monday: Isolated thunderstorms, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8 a.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent.
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.

Orlando

Friday Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 90. East southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8 a.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40 percent.
Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11 p.m., then a slight chance of showers between 11 p.m. and 1 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.
Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent.
Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11 p.m., then a chance of showers between 11 p.m. and 2 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 89. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.
Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 a.m., then a slight chance of showers. Low around 74. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.

Jacksonville

Friday Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. Southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7 p.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 7 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2 p.m., then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2 and 3 p.m., then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. East wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4 a.m., then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 p.m. High near 86. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.
Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2 a.m., then a chance of showers between 2 and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 a.m. Low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 80 p.m.
Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8 a.m. High near 83. Chance of precipitation is 90 percent.
Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.

Pensacola

Friday Afternoon: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 103. East wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. East wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 101. East wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind around 11 mph.
Sunday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. East wind around 5 mph.
Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Light southeast wind.

Miami

Friday Afternoon: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4 p.m. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 103. East wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 8 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. East wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 101. East wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind around 11 mph.
Sunday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. East wind around 5 mph.
Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 p.m. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8 p.m. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Light southeast wind.