Early Spring Possible In MI As El Niño Falls Apart: Forecast

MICHIGAN — Most of the United States, including Michigan is expected to see an unusually warm spring, according to a new forecast.

Although the vernal equinox on March 19 is typically observed as the first day of spring, meteorological spring starts on March 1. After a record-mild winter so far in many parts of the country, spring should arrive early, according to the forecast from The Weather Channel and Atmospheric G2.

Here’s the outlook for Michigan:

March: Lower Michigan will see slightly above average temperatures while northern Michigan will see much higher than normal averages. The Upper Peninsula will see significantly well-above averages, according to a new forecast.

April: The warming trend will continue into April as lower Michigan will see well-above averages and northern Michigan and the Upper Peninsula will see significantly well-above averages, according to a new forecast.

May: Temperatures across lower Michigan will stay well-above average while northern Michigan and the Upper Peninsula will still see significantly well-above averages, according to a new forecast.

The only areas of the country that aren’t expected to see earlier than normal warmth are areas of the Southeast. In the northern tier of states, spring is expected to be especially warm, while other areas of the country are expected to see above-normal or slightly above-normal temperatures,

A rapidly deteriorating El Niño climate pattern could mean a busier hurricane season and more active severe weather seasons or parts of the central U.S., Todd Crawford, vice president of meteorology at Atmospheric G2, said in a story for The Weather Channel.

“Given the expected rapid transition from El Niño to La Niña, and the increasing global warming trend, it has become difficult to forecast anything but anomalous warmth as we head towards summer,” he said.

Less scientifically, Punxsutawney Phil didn’t see his shadow on Groundhog Day, Feb. 2. According to lore, that meant winter would continue another six weeks, or until about March 15.

• Related: Did Groundhog Punxsutawney Phil See His Shadow?