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Possible Nor’easter Taking Shape: Latest NJ Snow Forecast

A strengthening storm could bring the first snowflakes of the year to New Jersey.

| Updated
A strengthening storm is set to bring heavy rain, gusty winds and the first snowflakes of the year to New Jersey this weekend. (Peggy Bayard/Patch)

A strengthening storm is set to bring heavy rain, gusty winds and the first snowflakes of the year to New Jersey this weekend.

While forecasters are unsure of some of the finer details, a storm is expected to impact the Garden State Thursday into Friday night.

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Mostly rain is forecast, but depending on how the storm tracks, areas of higher elevation could see some snow, according to the National Weather Service.

"The air mass may become sufficiently cold enough on the west to northwestern edge of the precipitation shield for a rain/snow mix or even some snow across the higher elevations of our far western to northwest zones," according to the National Weather Service.

However, accumulations will be minimal, if at all.

"Even in a perfect setup for November snow, which this is not, it is very difficult for snow to fall, let alone accumulate at low elevations along the Interstate 95 corridor," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. "Atlantic water temperatures are in the 40s, 50s and 60s offshore of the Northeast, so any kind of breeze off the water will cause the air to be too warm."

Strong winds and even some thunder are also possible.

Since forecasters are unsure of the track the storm will take, it's unclear what, if any, coastal impacts there will be. There could be tidal flooding and stronger winds, but this will become clearer as the forecast further develops.

In the wake of the storm, temperatures will drop, likely putting an end to the growing season where it is still active in South Jersey. Conditions will also be breezy to windy, National Weather Service forecasters said.

"Daytime temperatures on Friday and Saturday should not get out of the 40s for many areas, with temperatures at night dropping into the 20s to low 30s," the National Weather Service said.

Temperatures will moderate a little on Sunday and Monday, but will still remain below normal for November.

Here's the latest forecast.

North Jersey

Tuesday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 62. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 39. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Veterans Day: Increasing clouds, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Calm wind.

Thursday: Rain. High near 58. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Rain. Low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Friday: Rain likely, mainly before 1 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent.

Friday Night: A chance of rain before 1 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 47.

Central Jersey

Tuesday: Partly sunny, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 63. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 39. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

Veterans Day: Increasing clouds, with a high near 62. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.

Thursday: Rain, mainly after 1 p.m. High near 61. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Rain. Low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Friday: Rain likely, mainly before 1 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.

Friday Night: A chance of rain before 1 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

South Jersey

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 64. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 38. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Veterans Day: Increasing clouds, with a high near 64. Calm wind.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of rain after 1 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 20 percent.

Thursday: Rain, mainly after 1 p.m. High near 64. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Friday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent.

Friday Night: A chance of rain before 1 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 48.

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