Potential Tropical Storm Could Soak NJ Mid-Week: See Timeline

NEW JERSEY — Dry, sunny conditions will be disrupted by a mid-week storm that will bring rain and gusty winds to the Garden State, forecasters predict.

As of Monday, what the National Hurricane Center is calling "Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight" is forming off the Carolinas coast. That storm is projected to make its way north, bringing several days of soggy weather this week.

"Assuming a defined center has formed, a landfall along the northern South Carolina coast on Monday afternoon is most likely," according to AccuWeather. The exact path of the storm is not yet known, but if it tracks north, heavy rain can be expected along the mid-Atlantic coast from Tuesday to Thursday.

The southern Jersey Shore area will be under a coastal flood warning Monday from 6 p.m. to midnight. A high rip current risk is in place through Tuesday evening, and the National Weather Service warns it could go through Wednesday as well.

It'll be later Tuesday when the depression strikes New Jersey, forecasters say.

"The first and perhaps strongest wave comes through late Tuesday. Guidance has trended later with rain and embedded thunderstorms overspreading the region, and Tuesday now looks mainly dry with the exception of southern zones within the Delmarva peninsula," the National Weather Service said. "Thinking the heaviest rain will now come more late Tuesday Night into Wednesday morning."

South Jersey is expected to see the most rain, with about a half-inch to an inch, though forecasters note uncertainty.

Widespread flooding isn't likely because of how dry it's been, the National Weather Service said. As of Sept. 12, the U.S. Drought Monitor has South Jersey listed as "abnormally dry," with a small portion listed as "moderate drought."

Temperatures will stay in the 70s, and some rain is possible through Thursday night.

Here's the latest forecast.

North Jersey

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.

Monday Night: Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.

Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 2 a.m. Cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind around 6 mph.

Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Northeast wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Wednesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 64.

Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 75.

Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before 2 a.m. Cloudy, with a low around 62.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74.

Central Jersey

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 75. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. East wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Cloudy, with a high near 74. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: A chance of showers, mainly after 2 a.m. Cloudy, with a low around 65. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Showers likely, mainly between 8 a.m. and 2 p.m. Cloudy, with a high near 74. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Thursday: A chance of showers after 2 p.m. Cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 40 percent.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 2 a.m. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75.

South Jersey

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 76. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers after 2 p.m. Cloudy, with a high near 77. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20 percent.

Tuesday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2 a.m. Cloudy, with a low around 66. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 5 p.m. Cloudy, with a high near 76. East wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40 percent. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Thursday: A chance of showers after 2 p.m. Cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Thursday Night: A chance of showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Friday: A chance of showers after 2 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.