Latest on Harrison’s Snow Chance This Weekend

HARRISON, NY — Remember last winter and how odd it was here in the Hudson Valley with just a few snowstorms. This year we're already seeing little snow showers and flurries — and we've already had some school delays!

In an updated forecast, the National Weather Service now suggests some accumulation from the late-Sunday-into-Monday storm. No matter where you live in the Hudson Valley, the morning commute Monday to work and school will likely be a messy one.

The Hudson Valley could be looking at a wintry mix of snow, sleet and rain, up to 2 inches of snow, or more than double that, depending on the storm's track.

"Exactly what this system does… will have different impacts on the Hudson Valley," said Bill Potter of Hudson Valley Weather. "There is some data that tries to drive this system NE into Canada (track ‘A’). If that were correct, we would see snow Sunday night, change to a wintry mix, and possibly taper off as light rain Monday AM.

"The solution we prefer at the moment, is track ‘B’… which pushes the system from west to east. This would limit the amount of warm air that would be pulled north, and keep the Hudson Valley as primarily snow. The reason we like this idea more, is because there are atmospheric factors (a strong low east of Canada, and strong high pressure in southern Canada) that should prevent this storm from cutting NE. We’ll see which solution is right, as we get closer to Sunday. Ultimately… it’s a wintry event either way… the question is if we are talking 2 to 4 inches of snow, or 4 to 8 inches of snow."

No matter what, as the storm moves east, roads, airline delays and disruptions will occur in the Northeastern states.

Here's the National Weather Service's updated forecast for the weekend in southern Westchester County:

• This Afternoon: Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Wind chill values between 20 and 30. Breezy, with a northwest wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
• Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 22. Wind chill values between 15 and 20. Northwest wind 9 to 15 mph.
• Saturday: Scattered flurries after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Wind chill values between 15 and 25. West wind 8 to 13 mph.
• Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 25. Wind chill values between 20 and 25. West wind around 7 mph.
• Sunday: A slight chance of snow before noon, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 33. West wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
• Sunday Night: Snow likely before 9pm, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a temperature rising to around 36 by 4am. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
• Monday: Rain and snow likely, mainly before 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Image via AccuWeather.com