NEW YORK, NY — New York City could collect nearly $2 billion more in tax revenue over the next two fiscal years than the Adams administration projected, according to a new City Council forecast.
The forecast includes an additional $1.5 billion in projected revenue for fiscal year 2027 alone.
The revised outlook, released during the final days of Executive Budget hearings, expects tax revenue to grow at an average annual rate of 4.3 percent through fiscal year 2030.
Officials cited robust wage growth, higher Wall Street bonuses, increased capital gains realizations and recent tax collection data.
Council leaders said the additional revenue could fund priorities including expanded college savings accounts through NYC Kids RISE, additional staffing for city parks, increased support for cultural institutions, expansion of the Fair Fares transit discount program and additional funding for services for older adults and homeowners.
The Council also called for a portion of the projected revenue to be deposited into the city's Rainy Day Fund, marking what would be the first contribution since 2021.
“We can invest in New Yorkers today while planning responsibly for tomorrow," Council Speaker Julie Menin said.
Real gross domestic product increased 1.6 percent during the first quarter of 2026, supported by consumer spending and business investments in artificial intelligence and technology, according to the Council's report.
Within New York City, employment growth reached an annual rate of 0.8 percent in April, and average wages paid in the city increased 6.6 percent in 2025.
The Council projects city employment growth will strengthen beginning in 2027 as business services and other sectors benefit from continued national economic expansion. Even so, officials expect job growth to remain modest through 2030.
The City's commercial real estate market also showed signs of improvement.
The Council forecast expects Manhattan office vacancies to continue declining, with Class A office vacancy rates approaching pre-pandemic levels as artificial intelligence firms increase leasing activity.
The City Council said the nearly $2 billion in additional projected tax revenue across fiscal years 2026 and 2027 could help fund a mix of new investments and financial safeguards, including:
Expanded Fair Fares Program
More Funding For NYC Kids RISE
Additional Parks Staff
Fifth Firefighter On Engine Companies
Department Of Consumer And Worker Protection
Support For Cultural Institutions
Services For Older Adults
Homeowner Assistance Programs
Rainy Day Fund Deposits
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