Here's How Inflation Is Impacting Grocery Prices In PA

PENNSYLVANIA — Inflation slowed to 3 percent in June — not that residents of Pennsylvania saw much difference from the previous month’s grocery bills, according to the government’s latest consumer price index report.

Overall last month, grocery prices were 4.7 percent higher than they were at the same time last year, according to the June inflation report released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In the Northeast Region, which includes Pennsylvania, the food-at-home category saw a 4.7 percent year-over-year increase.

Though groceries are still more expensive than they were a year ago, costs have leveled off during the past three months.

The cost of some grocery staples — eggs and chicken, especially — have dropped considerably as the nation’s poultry farmers rebuild their inventories after a widespread bird flu outbreak and supply chain issues tied to COVID-19 pandemic disruptions.

At the retail level, eggs dropped to about $2.22 a dozen, down more than 7 percent just in the past month and down from $4.82 in January, but still above the pre-pandemic price of about $1.60 a dozen, according to the inflation report. Milk prices fell for the third consecutive month, and are down 1.9 percent from last year.

Since the start of the pandemic, a basket of common items costs 40 percent more than at the start of the pandemic, according to an analysis of the June inflation report by NBC News. The news outlet looked at prices for a pound each of chicken, ground beef, bread, potatoes, bananas and coffee, a dozen chicken eggs and a gallon of milk.

Here’s a look at how prices for those items have changed from June 2022 to June 2023 in the Philadelphia area:

• Cereals and bakery products: Increase of 8.4 percent
• Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: Decrease of 0.1 percent
• Dairy and related products: Increase of 9.1 percent
• Fruits and vegetables: Increase of 1.9 percent
• Nonalcoholic beverages and beverage materials: Increase of 7.3 percent
• Food away from home: Increase of 6.8 percent
• Alcoholic beverages: Increase of 4.7 percent.

And, here’s a look at how prices for those items have changed from June 2022 to June 2023 in the Northeast region as a whole:

• Cereals and bakery products: Increase of 9 percent
• Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: Decrease of 0.6 percent
• Dairy and related products: Increase of 3.9 percent
• Fruits and vegetables: Increase of 2.1 percent
• Nonalcoholic beverages and beverage materials: Increase of 8.9 percent
• Food away from home: Increase of 7.6 percent
• Alcoholic beverages: Increase of 5.4 percent

Nationally, cereals and bakery products are costing more than they did a year ago, up 8.8 percent from June 2022. Nonalcoholic beverages are up 7.6 percent from June 2022.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture expects further declines in egg and chicken prices.

Chicken farmers are rebuilding their inventories after the bird flu resulted in the loss of 43 million egg-laying hens, and wholesale egg prices have tumbled since December 2022, according to the USDA’s latest report. Meat poultry took less of a hit from the avian flu. According to a July 7 report on retail chicken prices, whole birds, skinless breasts, thighs and drumsticks all cost less than they did a year ago, while the price of specialty and organic items changed little.

June was the 12th consecutive month that consumer price increases have slowed, and they’re at their lowest point since early 2021.

At 3 percent, the June inflation rate is just 1 percentage point from the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target. The decline was led by lower gas prices, which averaged about $3.56 a gallon Thursday, compared to $4.63 a gallon a year ago, according to AAA data. Gas prices climbed to a high last June, averaging $5.82 a gallon.

In Pennsylvania, gas prices have fallen more than $1 per gallon from last year. As of Friday, the average for a gallon of gas was $3.63 in the Keystone State — compared to $4.73 a year ago.

Housing costs accounted for more than 70 percent of the June inflation increase, and the cost of auto insurance also contributed, the Labor Department said. Housing costs increased 0.4 percent from May to June, and are up 7.8 percent from a year ago.

In the Northeast region, the shelter index increased by 6.3 percent from June 2022 to June 2023, with rent increasing 6.6 percent and electricity up 7 percent, though the cost of gas service has dropped 17.2 percent.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.