How Severe Gerrymandering Impacts Delaware County

Perhaps nowhere else in the country has gerrymandering, the process of redrawing electoral maps to favor a given party, had such an extreme impact as Pennsylvania.

A recent New York Times study presents a series of visualizations which reflect the severity of the current situation, how much worse it could become, and what a fairly drawn map might look like.

Which solution becomes the reality for the 2018 election, and the 2020 election beyond that, depends on the Pennsylvania Supreme Court, which will determine this week whether or not the current map violates the state's constitution.

The most absurd example of gerrymandering in Pennsylvania and perhaps the nation is the 7th congressional district, which was redrawn in 2013. The district is barely contiguous. It covers most of Delaware County, but meanders through northern Montgomery County and into South Philadelphia before twisting out to cover swaths of Chester, Berks, and Lancaster counties.

It's currently represented by Republican U.S. Rep. Pat Meehan. It's one of the seats that would turn Democrat under the Times' "possible nonpartisan map," which shapes districts in a more even, county-centric manner.

The nonpartisan map shows seven Democratic districts versus 11 Republican districts, based on the results of the 2016 election. The current map is six Democrat and 12 Republican, while an even more extreme gerrymandering, which could be possible under Republican control in 2020, would leave the state with three Democratic and 15 Republican districts.

>>Phoenixville Area State Rep. Candidate: End Gerrymandering Now

The current system benefits Republicans in Pennsylvania by "borrowing" heavily from Democratic strongholds in southeastern Pennsylvania and west-central Pennsylvania and looping them into Republican districts that are farther away from the blue centers of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh This dilutes the Democratic presence and allows Republicans to win key districts which they would otherwise lose.

Obviously, if the state's Supreme Court rules that the current gerrymandering map violates the state's constitution, the 2018 district map could look much more like the "nonpartisan" map proposed in the report.

There are two congressional districts that cover most of Montgomery County: the famed 7th District and the 1st District, represented by Democratic U.S. Rep. Bob Brady.

New York Times visualizations show how redrawing the 7th district to make it much larger geographically turns a 28 point Clinton victory in 2016 into merely a 2-point victory. With potentially even more extreme gerrymandering, the district would be a 14 point victory for Trump.

In the 1st District, which covers small parts of Delco and parts of Philadelphia, gerrymandering doesn't change much. A nonpartisan version of the 1st District would change Clinton's 61-point victory in 2016 to a 59-point victory. In an extreme gerrymandering case, the 1st would have given Clinton a 70-pint win.

Check out the full New York Times report here.

Story by Justin Heinze

Patch file photo