The Regency made the news last week and the headlines felt like hype and thus I&nbsp;did a little research to get to heart of the news.&nbsp;I pulled the Loudoun County tax records and BrightMLS closed sales on all 143 homes and ran the math.
A few things the coverage is missing:
<ul><li>Per homeowner math appears closer to $4M once you include each owner&rsquo;s pro-rata share of the HOA&rsquo;s common acreage</li><li>Fairfax County Chantilly land sale approved last week also priced near $4M per acre, which validates the Regency pricing more than most headlines are acknowledge</li><li>Sales "freeze" in the community and decline in assessments for 2026, what is the long term outlook for the community in this condition?</li><li>Bigger issue is not just price, it&rsquo;s timeline, unknown buyer risk, and whether homeowners get stuck in a shrinking residential market if this drags on</li></ul>
I wrote up the full analysis with sources here if useful:&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href="https://bit.ly/realestateofnva-p-regency" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">bit.ly/realestateofnva-p-regency</a>
Happy to answer questions about the analysis.
Michele

Fairfax County

Michael O'Connell

Washington Metropolitan Area

Reston

Virginia

The Regency What the Press Missed

The Regency made the news last week and the headlines felt like hype and thus I did a little research to get to heart of the news. I pulled the...

&#120295;&#120309;&#120306; &#120284;&#120315;&#120323;&#120306;&#120315;&#120321;&#120316;&#120319;&#120326; &#120284;&#120313;&#120313;&#120322;&#120320;&#120310;&#120316;&#120315;: &#120298;&#120309;&#120302;&#120321; &#120321;&#120309;&#120306; &#120283;&#120306;&#120302;&#120305;&#120313;&#120310;&#120315;&#120306;&#120320; &#120288;&#120310;&#120320;&#120320; &#120276;&#120303;&#120316;&#120322;&#120321; &#120289;&#120316;&#120319;&#120321;&#120309;&#120306;&#120319;&#120315; &#120297;&#120310;&#120319;&#120308;&#120310;&#120315;&#120310;&#120302; &#120293;&#120310;&#120308;&#120309;&#120321; &#120289;&#120316;&#120324;
All four market segments in Fairfax County and Loudoun County are under one month of supply heading into spring 2026, contrary to National statistics. The summer 2025 inventory &ldquo;peak&rdquo; had buyers hopeful and sellers nervous. But both counties peaked at 1.5 to 2 months &mdash; still a seller&rsquo;s market by definition. Then winter came and the market compressed 54% in six months. &#120347;&#120361;&#120362;&#120372; &#120362;&#120372; &#120376;&#120361;&#120354;&#120373; &#120373;&#120361;&#120358; &#120345;&#120368;&#120374;&#120373;&#120358; 7 &#120330;&#120368;&#120371;&#120371;&#120362;&#120357;&#120368;&#120371; &#120354;&#120356;&#120373;&#120374;&#120354;&#120365;&#120365;&#120378; &#120365;&#120368;&#120368;&#120364;&#120372; &#120365;&#120362;&#120364;&#120358; &#120371;&#120362;&#120360;&#120361;&#120373; &#120367;&#120368;&#120376;.
&#120295;&#120309;&#120306; &#120307;&#120322;&#120313;&#120313; &#120302;&#120315;&#120302;&#120313;&#120326;&#120320;&#120310;&#120320; &#120304;&#120316;&#120323;&#120306;&#120319;&#120320;: &bull; Summer 2025 inventory reality &bull; February 2026 four-segment snapshot &bull; Fairfax vs. Loudoun divergence &bull; Ten years of price context &bull; &#120402;&#120413;&#120406;&#120425; &#120424;&#120410;&#120417;&#120417;&#120410;&#120423;&#120424; &#120406;&#120419;&#120409; &#120407;&#120426;&#120430;&#120410;&#120423;&#120424; &#120424;&#120413;&#120420;&#120426;&#120417;&#120409; &#120409;&#120420; &#120423;&#120414;&#120412;&#120413;&#120425; &#120419;&#120420;&#120428;
<a href="https://patch.com/virginia/ashburn/classifieds/housing/577113/bit.ly/realestateofnva-inventory-spring26?utm_source=P&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=2026-0404-BLOG-inventory-illusion-nva" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FULL ANALYSIS LINK</a>
Michele Hudnall | Equity-First Strategist Real Estate of NVA | <a target="_blank" href="http://realestateofnva.com/" rel="noopener nofollow">RealEstateofNVA.com</a> @realestateofnva | 703.867.3436 | <a target="_blank" href="mailto:michele@realestateofnva.com" rel="noopener nofollow">michele@realestateofnva.com</a>
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