
The Dow Jones plunged more than 1,000 points Monday morning, causing some not-quite-panic on Wall Street before rising again and going all yo-yo on nervous investors.
The downward trend continued Dowβs 530-point drop on Friday, its worst single-day decrease since 2011.
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So, whatβs going on? And is there reason to panic?
Patch spoke with Daniel Johnedis, chief investment officer at Strategic Wealth Partners, to get his take.
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1.Donβt Panic
Your 401(k) and other retirement accounts should be fine over the long-term.
Mondayβs plummet and last weekβs decline were part of a trend expected by many financial analysts.
βWe donβt believe thereβs a global crisis going on,β Johnedis said. βWe just believe itβs a natural correction.β
So, thereβs no need for someone to freak out and sell off all of their long-term investments.
βWhat I would say more importantly is to hold on,β Johnedis said. βYour 401(k) is a long-term investment. These funds that youβre invested in are going to come back. By year-end, we very likely will see definitely a stronger market than what weβre seeing today.β
2. If I Shouldnβt Panic, Whyβs This Happening?
These last few years have been a good stretch for the U.S. economy, with good housing numbers, low gas prices and a decreasing unemployment rate.
That creates confidence for consumers, who have more money to buy and invest, to the point where stock prices exceed a companyβs true value, Johnedis said.
At some point, those prices have to fall.
βWhen the market goes up and up thereβs always a period called correction,β Johnedis told Patch. βJust to get back to what we call equilibrium, where the value of the company, the value of the stock, is equal to the value itβs trading at.β
Major companies like Walmart, Loweβs and Target didnβt meet Wall Streetβs projections, which were based on those inflated stock prices.
βThe other part of that is fear,β Johnedis said. βWhen people start seeing things trade down, thereβs a snowball effect.β
3. No Sign Of A New Recession
Last weekβs decline was in line with those predicted corrections. Analysts donβt believe that the recent trends are a sign of doom and gloom to come.
βThatβs absolutely not our belief,β Johnedis said. βOur belief is that this is a correction, and a correction is a 10 percent change in the market, and we believe that was long overdue. βThe global economy is still relatively strong.β
The natural corrections like this mostly affect short-term traders, according to Sean Williams, an investment writer. So the average Joe saving up money for retirement should just stay put.
βAnother important point you should realize is that stock market corrections really arenβt an issue if you remain focused on the long-term with retirement as your goal,β Williams wrote in USA Today. βThe only people who should be worried when corrections roll around are those whoβve geared their trading around the short-term.β
4. Continuing A Bad Week
Mondayβs plummet was a sort of carryover from last week, when the U.S. correction began in full force.
Historically when thereβs a decrease at the end of the day, as was the case Friday, βThe very next day the marketβs going to be sold off,β Johnedis said. βThe momentum is still there.β
Investors had the whole weekend to worry about the bad week, and many put in orders to sell, which all hit at the same time when the market opened Monday.
βFear will drive the market on Monday morning,β he said. βThereβs all these outstanding orders in inventory waiting to be hit first thing Monday morning. I would say by the end of the day, it could even be positive or close to being flat.β
5.Β China Had A Role In This
Chinaβs economy is going through a similar phase.
Over the last decade, Chinaβs economy grew to βone third of industrial production in the world,β according to Johnedis.
βWhat happened lately is kind of the same thing,β he said. βChinaβs markets raised way too quickly.β
China recently devalued its Yuang currency, too, to help ease into that correction, which had a ripple effect into investors in the United States who had investments in China.
βThey were losing money in exports because the value of the Chinese Yuan was so strong,β Johnedis said. βSo when they devalued it, they did that so that they could increase their exports and decrease their pressure from foreign investors.β
Screenshot via CNN
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