Current Tropical Activity: T.S. Alvin, Max wind; 50mph, Movement; NNW
Disturbance off South of Central America; 20% Chance of Low development
NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
Occluded low pressure south of Nova Scotia with a stationary front extending to low pressure over KY, and a cold front from KY through central TX. Cold front stretching from Saskaketchwan to central NV.
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Coldest air: Qikiqtarjuaq, Nunavut, Canada ; 23F.
Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D
Area of rain over southwest OH and northeast KY. Showers and thunderstorms from southwest AK through southeast TX.
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GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
Low pressure forms over eastern Virginia and moves towards NYC for the first half of the weekend bringing significant moisture throughout New England. As the system pushes into southern Quebec, a drier but a cold return flow of air sets up for the remainder of the weekend into next week. Midweek, a summer type southwesterly flow sets up for the Eastern Seaboard until the end of the week when a cold front approaches the Northeast.
National Drought Map: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
National Snow Cover Map: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html