Current Tropical Activity: Disturbance 1 East of Jacksonville; 0% Chance of Low development in 7 days.
Disturbance southwest of West Coast Mexico; 80% Chance of Low development in 7 days, movement WNW 10 mph.
NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
High pressure off the Mid Atlantic Coast is providing a southwesterly summer type flow over the Eastern third of the country. A cold front slicing through the Great Lakes to the east Texas/Mexican border. High pressure over the Rockies with a stationary front snaking through the Southwest from New Mexico to the NV/CA border.
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Coldest air: Utqiagvik, AK; 22F.
Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D
Showers and thunderstorms off the east coast of Florida associated with Disturbance #1. Showers off the west coast of Florida. A line of showers from the Great Lakes to east Texas. Scattered showers over the High Plains and eastern Rockies with rain/snow over central Colorado.
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GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
High pressure meanders off the Eastern Seaboard providing an onshore flow of warm moist air over the eastern third of the country through the weekend with a series of disturbances moving across the Northeast. A more organized low forms early next week and heads up the Eastern Seaboard.
National Drought Map: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
National Snow Cover Map: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html