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Synoptic Weather

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Current Tropical Activity: Disturbance 1 East of Jacksonville; Dissolved


Disturbance southwest of West Coast Mexico; 80% Chance of Low development in 7 days, movement WNW 10 mph.

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NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
Frontal system from Labrador to central Texas/Mexican border, then northward through the southern Rockies with a series of small disturbances from Colorado to Nevada.


Coldest air: Utqiagvik, AK; 23F.

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Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D
Showers and thunderstorms over the Carolinas. A band of showers from southeast Ontario to northeast Arkansas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the High Plains.


GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
Southwesterly flow over the eastern third of the country with increasing moisture into the weekend. Low pressure forms over New York and moves through New England for the first part of the weekend. Second half of the weekend and into early next week, the low moves into the Canadian Maritimes dragging cooler air into the Northeast. Into mid week a series of weak lows track across the Northeast with added moisture that dries out for the second half of the week.

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