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Synoptic Weather

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NHC:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Current Tropical Activity:

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Disturbance #1 Atlantic; East Coast of Florida 60% chance of cyclone development in 7 days

TS Flossie, west of central Mexico, winds 60 mph, movement WNW 9 mph., no projected landfall.
Disturbance #1 East Pacific; Southwest Coast Mexico 80% chance of cyclone development in 7 days

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NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
Stationary front from southeast New England to the southern Gulf States to east Texas. Canadian cold front entering the Upper Great Lakes region. Maritime cold front moving through the northern Rockies.


Coldest air: Banks Island, Canada; 30F.

Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D
Area of showers and thundershowers over upstate New York, southeast Ontario and southern Quebec. Tropical activity off the east coast of Florida to the Gulf. Widespread showers and thundershowers from Texas to Idaho to the Dakotas.

GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
Cold front slides through the Northeast setting up the movement of a cold core of air through New England for the first part of the holiday weekend. A reversal of air flow occurs for the second half of the weekend into next week bringing warmer air back into the Northeast with a buildup of moisture by mid week.

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