UHCL : Should The U.S. Cancel Student Debt? UHCL Economics Prof Weighs In

Press release from University of Houston-Clear Lake:

June 4, 2021

Following 2020 campaign promises to alleviate student debt, President Joe Biden has
proposed offering up to $10,000 in federal student loan cancellation to borrowers
as well as provide for free community college. 

Democrats and Republicans continue to wrangle over the proposal, and there’s still
no such legislation before Congress. If enacted, Biden’s student loan forgiveness
plan could wipe out debt for 15 million borrowers. 

But what does this truly mean for college students? In this, Q&A, Associate Professor of Economics Stephen Cotten explores this and other questions affecting college voters struggling to finance
their higher education.  

Q: Over the long term, does student debt actually hurt the economy?A: It depends on the scale. It drags on people who have it, and lenders certainly
benefit from the loans, but consumers have to make the payments, which decreases their
ability to pay for other things. The Affordable Care Act had a reform of the student
loan system tucked into it. The federal government became a direct lender, and since
then, plans for repayment have been income-based. Now, loan payments can be capped
at 10% of your discretionary income, and after 20 years, whatever is left is forgiven.
Payments are capped at an affordable level now. 

Q: What do you think about President Biden’s plan to take $10,000 off student loans?A: One equity issue with loan forgiveness is that across the board, the people who
will disproportionately benefit are those who took out loans to achieve high paying,
professional degrees, like medical doctors, lawyers, etc. They have huge loans, but
they will make big salaries, so they can afford to pay their loans anyway. 

The most serious proposals have focused on smaller reductions, like $10,000 off a
loan. A segment of the population took out loans and went to college, but didn’t finish,
so they’re still making a high school-level income, but have loans left over from
that attempt. A small, across-the-board forgiveness could benefit the group that have
lower-paying jobs. 

But that money has to come from somewhere, it’s not going back to the taxpayers, and
it’s money that could have been used for other programs.

The other equity issue is that people who never went to college end up subsidizing
college students’ debt. Loan payments can be extremely burdensome, but others who
didn’t go feel that it’s not their job to help others finance their loans. This can
become an acrimonious debate. 

Q: Would student loan forgiveness stimulate the economy?A: Yes, in the short run. Instead of making loan payments, people would use that money
to buy other things. But it could ultimately result in higher taxes, because the money
would be used in loan forgiveness instead of on other programs that could stimulate
the economy. 

Q. How would offering free community college impact the economy and students?A: There are 17 states that provide tuition-free community college, eight of them
using their state’s lottery to fund the program. The lottery funding mechanism works
well, but the downside is, it’s like a regressive, but voluntary tax. You don’t have
to buy lottery tickets, but it can be very bad for people with gambling problems.

Also, lower-income individuals tend to pay a larger percentage of their income on
lottery tickets than those with a higher income.  But it’s an additional source of
revenue for the state, and by pairing it with education, it gets by the anti-gambling
activists in the state. I think it’s a decent use of those funds. 

However, if I were to design a program like this, I would be inclined to pursue an
educational scholarship approach, and give it to students as a scholarship to pay
for community college or take a certain amount of a four-year college. 

For decades, we have put so much social pressure on students to get a four-year degree
that we now have a surplus of college graduates. We attach a social stigma to getting
training in other things — oh, you’re “just” a plumber or an air-conditioning repair
person. These jobs would be very well suited to some people, and can be much more
lucrative than you might think. 

Q: There are those who feel that free community college encourages young people to
have a sense of “entitlement.” Do you agree?A: I wonder if this was the thought 100 years ago, when going to grades 7-12 was made
mandatory. Until then, people only had education through the sixth grade. I don’t
believe subsidized education creates a sense of entitlement — or any other personality
disorders in our citizenry. But as with everything, there’s an upper limit.

If you charge a 0% tax rate, you raise no money. If you charge a 100% tax rate, you
won’t raise money because no one will work. You don’t want to provide everything,
because there’s no incentive to work, but I don’t think two extra years of education
is the tipping point about whether people care about getting ahead on their own.

In this recurring feature, University of Houston-Clear Lake faculty answer questions
about current events that impact our community. For more information about UHCL’s
Department of Decision Sciences, Economics, Finance and Marketing, go online.

This press release was produced by University of Houston-Clear Lake. The views expressed here are the author’s own.