Health & Fitness

COVID-19 Cases Could Steadily Decline This Winter: Researchers

A new model has called it the "most likely scenario," as researchers say deaths could also drop from 1,500 per day now to fewer than 100.

Megan VerHelst's profile picture
Megan VerHelst, Patch StaffVerified Patch Staff Badge
|
COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. have climbed to an average of more than 1,900 a day for the first time since early March. A new model, however, predicts that we could start seeing a steady decline in cases.
COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. have climbed to an average of more than 1,900 a day for the first time since early March. A new model, however, predicts that we could start seeing a steady decline in cases. (APAP Photo/Kyle Green, File)

WASHINGTON, DC — Is the worst of the coronavirus pandemic behind us? It could be, according to a new model that predicts the United States could see COVID-19 cases start to steadily decline now through March.

A new analysis released by the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers advising the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, says cases could drop by 9,000 per day through March. This is provided that child vaccinations take off and no new highly transmissible variants emerge.

COVID-19-related deaths would also drop from about 1,900 per day now to fewer than 100 a day by March.

Find out what's happening in Across Americafor free with the latest updates from Patch.

"Any of us who have been following this closely, given what happened with delta, are going to be really cautious about too much optimism," Justin Lessler, who helps run the hub, told National Public Radio. "But I do think that the trajectory is towards improvement for most of the country."

Read more via NPR

Find out what's happening in Across Americafor free with the latest updates from Patch.

Get more local news delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up for free Patch newsletters and alerts.

More from Across America