Politics & Government

Donald Trump Leading Hillary Clinton in New Georgia Poll

Clinton leads Trump among Atlanta voters, while Trump has stronger support from white voters outside the metro area.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Hillary Clinton in Georgia in a new Monmouth University poll.

Trump leads Clinton 45 percent to 42 percent in a poll of likely voters. Libertarian Gary Johnson came in at 8 percent, with 5 percent undecided.

U.S. Sen. Johnny Isakson also holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Jim Barksdale, 50 percent to 34 percent, with 5 percent supporting Libertarian Allen Buckley and 10 percent undecided.

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"There has been some talk of Georgia becoming part of a demographic realignment in presidential politics. However, Clinton is not quite making the needed inroads among young white voters to take the lead here," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. According to the 2008 National Election Pool exit poll, 98% of black voters and 23% of white voters in Georgia supported Obama that year, when he lost the state by 5 points. There was no exit poll in 2012.

Here are some other highlights of the poll:

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  • Clinton holds a 55 percent to 35 percent lead over Trump in the six congressional districts surrounding Atlanta, while Trump leads 51 percent to 33 percent in the rest of the state.
  • Among black voters statewide, Clinton leads Trump 88 percent to 4 percent.
  • Among white voters statewide, Trump leads Clinton 66 percent to 20 percent. This margin is similar among both white men (67 percent to 20 percent) and white women (65 percent to 21 percent).
  • Trump also leads Clinton among white voters without a college degree (78 percent to 10 percent) than he does among white college graduates (54 percent to 31 percent).

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from September 15 to 18, 2016 with 401 Georgia residents likely to vote in the November election. This sample has a margin of error of + 4.9 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.

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