White Christmas 2017: Here Are The Chances For The Hudson Valley

HUDSON VALLEY, NY – Did the snow last night, along with the couple inches of powder that fell over the weekend, have you dreaming of a white Christmas? Forecasters say the chances for the winter fantasy to come true aren't looking good, but can't be ruled out.

In the Hudson Valley, the chance of waking up to a Christmas card winter wonderland scene on Dec. 25 is less than 50 percent, according to an interactive map from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association that shows the historical probability for a snow depth of at least one inch of snow.

For better chances of a white Christmas, head to upstate New York – it's a pretty sure thing in the Adirondacks with 87 percent probability at Lake Placid. And if you really want to travel, it's pretty much a lock that the Colorado Rockies or Sierra Nevada mountains in California with all those ski resorts, will be covered in white powder.

NOAA's map is based on the average temperatures of the past three-decades, precipitation and other climate variables. On the map below, the darkest gray areas show the lowest probability for a white Christmas and the white areas show where the chances are the greatest. Take a look: the Hudson Valley is on the edge.

Accuweather.com's long-range forecast for the New York City metro area doesn't look good for a white Christmas, either. But it does look stormy, with storms bringing "unsettled" weather and possibly nasty driving conditions next week through Jan. 1.

One storm may quickly track from the Gulf of Mexico to the Northeast around Dec. 22-24, according to AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok.

“Chances are good for a white Christmas from I-80 northward in the midwestern and northeastern U.S.,” Pastelok said. “This may not include New York City but definitely Boston.”

Still, it's 11 days out. Plenty of time for everything to change. Check back, Patch will keep an eye on it for you.

Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images News/Getty Images; maps from the National Weather Service and Accuweather