Politics & Government

POLL: Scott Jensen Leads Tim Walz, Keith Ellison Trails Jim Schultz

Trafalgar Group has an A- grade from Nate Silver's nonpartisan analytics website, FiveThirtyEight.

Campaign workers set up the booth for Republican gubernatorial candidate Scott Jensen on the opening day of the Minnesota State Fair on Thursday, Aug. 25, 2022, in Falcon Heights, Minn.
Campaign workers set up the booth for Republican gubernatorial candidate Scott Jensen on the opening day of the Minnesota State Fair on Thursday, Aug. 25, 2022, in Falcon Heights, Minn. (AP Photo/Steve Karnowski)

MINNESOTA — A new poll finds that Democratic Gov. Tim Walz is now narrowly trailing Republican challenger Scott Jensen.

The poll was commissioned by the conservative website Alpha News and conducted by the Trafalgar Group. Jensen leads Walz by about a half percentage point, according to the poll.

Trafalgar Group has an A- grade from Nate Silver's nonpartisan analytics website, FiveThirtyEight.

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The same survey also found that Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison is trailing his Republican challenger, Jim Schultz, by about 5 percentage points.

Meanwhile, Republican Kim Crockett is down just two percentage points from her opponent, Democratic Secretary of State Steve Simon, according to the poll.

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The survey also found that Democratic state auditor Julie Blaha is trailing her Republican challenger, Ryan Wilson, by about 4 percentage points.

Polls conducted back in the summer showed all statewide Democrats with sizeable leads. However, polls conducted in the past month now show that Minnesota Republicans could be on the verge of winning their first statewide race since 2006.

The Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party sounded the alarm in a campaign email Thursday night, citing the Trafalgar Group poll and a recent MinnPost poll.

Read more about the Trafalgar Group poll here.

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