Month-By-Month Spring And Summer Forecast Released For NJ

It may be a warmer spring and an earlier summer than usual in the coming months, according to a new long-term weather lookout from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

The agency released its seasonal temperature outlook for May through July, showing an increased likelihood of above-average temperatures across much of the Mid-Atlantic region, including New Jersey.

The outlook indicates a higher probability of warmer conditions compared to historical averages, though it does not guarantee specific temperatures on any given day.

Precipitation in New Jersey is expected to fall within “equal chances,” meaning there is no strong signal for either wetter- or drier-than-normal conditions during the period.

Despite a snowy winter with a blizzard in late February, the Garden State also saw a period of record-breaking heat ending on March 11 — quickly followed by a cold spell with snow showers.

Early Spring: 'Back-And-Forth Swings'

Shifts in the jet stream are likely to continue to bring cold air down across the Midwest and Northeast over the coming weeks, according to Accuweather, interspersed with more warming periods.

"Additional back-and-forth swings between warm and chilly air will continue into April, especially across the Northeast," Accuweather said.

The new long term temperature outlook is part of NOAA’s long-range forecasting, which uses climate patterns and historical data to assess trends over several months.

Forecasters update the outlook regularly, meaning conditions and probabilities may shift as summer approaches.

The NOAA also released precipitation probabilities from May through July, leaning toward above-average totals.

Check back next month for updates to that forecast.

With reporting from Patch Editors Justin Heinze and Hayleigh Evans