Fairfax County Coronavirus Update: Trends Change In June, July

FAIRFAX COUNTY, VA — The coronavirus case trends are looking better in June and July than May for Fairfax County, according to the latest local and state health department data. As of Aug. 10, cumulative cases stand at 16,445. There have been 529 total deaths and 1,939 hospitalizations.

At the start of August, Fairfax County's cases stood at 15,689. When we look at month-to-month changes, the number of new cases had been larger in May than June and July. According to the Virginia Department of Health's cumulative totals, 1,825 new cases were added between July 1 and Aug. 1, 2,645 new cases were added between June 1 and July 1, and 11,219 cases were added between May 1 and June 1. May's new cases represented more than double June and July's new cases combined.

The same trend goes for hospitalizations and deaths. There were 278 new hospitalizations between July 1 and Aug. 1, 293 between June 1 and July 1, and 686 between May 1 and June 1.

As for deaths, 34 were reported between July 1 and Aug. 1, 101 were reported between June 1 and July 1, and 250 were reported between May 1 and June 1.

Another improvement has been the positive rate of tests. On Aug. 1, the 7-day average of positive tests was 5.8 percent, down from the 7 percent average on July 1 and a drastic difference from the 15.5 percent average on June 1 and 33.7 percent average on May 1. This rate is for the entire Fairfax Health District, which includes the county and cities of Fairfax and Falls Church.

The ZIP codes with the top case rates have remained in top spots since Fairfax County Health Department started releasing this data. Residents can find data for their ZIP code on the Fairfax County Department of Health's dashboard.

The top five ZIP codes for rate of cases per 100,000 people are:

• Springfield, 22150: 873 cases; rate of 3,220.8 cases per 100,000; population of 27,105
• Groveton/Hybla Valley, 22306: 1,037 cases; rate of 3,207.9 cases per 100,000; population of 32,326
• Bailey's Crossroads/City of Alexandria, 22311: 557 cases; 3,172 cases per 100,000; population of 17,560
• Bailey's Crossroads/Lake Barcroft, 22041: 834 cases; 2,979.7 cases per 100,000; population of 27,989
• Dunn Loring, 22027: 69 cases; 2,921.3 cases per 100,000; population of 2,362

It should be noted that the 22027 ZIP code in Dunn Loring covers a small area and is home to the Iliff Nursing and Rehabilitation Center. The nursing home reported 78 cases and 12 deaths, which can include residents and staff. Other case data for Fairfax County nursing homes is available on VDH's Long-Term Care Task Force website.

On the demographic side, the most cases have been reported in the 30 to 39 age group, while the most deaths have been in the 80 and up age group.

The age breakdown of cases in the Fairfax Health District is:

• 0-9: 592
• 10-19: 1,132
• 20-29: 2,777
• 30-39: 3,182
• 40-49: 2,986
• 50-59: 2,555
• 60-69: 1,596
• 70-79: 742
• 80 and up: 854
• Not reported: 180

The age breakdown of deaths in the Fairfax Health District is:

• 0-9: 0
• 10-19: 0
• 20-29: 3
• 30-39: 6
• 40-49: 10
• 50-59: 34
• 60-69: 66
• 70-79: 119
• 80 and up: 304

Among racial and ethnic groups, Latino or Hispanic residents make up 58 percent of cases in the Fairfax Health District while representing an estimated 16 percent of the population in Fairfax County, 10 percent in Falls Church and 17 percent in Fairfax City. The disproportionate number of cases among Latino or Hispanic residents is also reflected in statewide data.

Here is the race and ethnicity breakdown of cases in the Fairfax Health District:

• Asian or Pacific Islander: 1,351
• Black: 1,193
• Latino: 8,405
• Native American: 31
• Other race: 619
• Two or more races: 52
• White: 2,842

More data is available on the Fairfax County Health Department and Virginia Department of Health websites.